Breast: Risk Models

Gail Model

Basics

  • Calculates Risk of Breast Cancer In 5 Years & In Lifetime
  • May Underestimate the Risk

Factors

  • Age
  • Age of Menarche
  • Age of First Full-Term Pregnancy
  • Number of Past Breast Biopsies
  • Personal History of Atypical Hyperplasia (ALH/ADH)
  • Number of First-Degree Relatives with Breast Cancer
  • Race/Ethnicity

Tyrer-Cuzick Model (IBIS Tool)

Basics

  • IBIS: International Breast Cancer Intervention Study
  • Calculates Risk of Breast Cancer In 10 Years & In Lifetime
  • May Overestimate Risk & Is Generally Higher Than Other Models

Factors

  • Age
  • Height
  • Weight
  • Age of Menarche
  • Parity & Age of First Full-Term Pregnancy
  • Menopausal Status
  • History of Hormone Replacement Therapy & Length of Use
  • BRCA Status
  • History of Breast Biopsy
  • History of Hyperplasia, Atypia or Carcinoma In-Situ
  • History of Ovarian Cancer
  • BI-RADS ATLAS Breast Density
  • Ashkenazi Inheritance
  • Family History of Breast Cancer, Age or Age at Death, Ovarian Cancer, BRCA Status
    • Also Considers Family Beyond the First-Degree

Other Models

Claus Model

  • Includes More Family History of Breast Cancer Than the Gail Model
  • Does Not Include Other Personal Information (Age of Menarche, Number of Biopsies, etc.) That Are Included in the Gail Model

BRCAPRO Model

  • Includes More Family History of Breast Cancer Than the Gail Model
  • Includes Family History of Ovarian Cancer
  • Includes History of Oophorectomy
  • Calculates Risk of Breast & Ovarian Cancers

BOADICEA Model

  • Calculates Risk of Breast & Ovarian Cancers
  • Also Calculates Risk of Carrying BRCA Mutations